@misc{murray2025methodology, title = {{A Methodology for Quantitative AI Risk Modeling}}, author = {Malcolm Murray and Steve Barrett and Henry Papadatos and Otter Quarks and Matt Smith and Alejandro Tlaie Boria and Chloé Touzet and Siméon Campos}, year = {2025}, url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.08844}, eprint = {2512.08844}, archivePrefix = {arXiv}, primaryClass = {cs.CY}, }